Goldman Sachs Forecasts AI Could Displace Up to 9% of U.S. Workers

Fifteen million is the estimate. Forecasts like this tend to be the one part of the economy AI has not automated yet.

Goldman Sachs research, led by economist Joseph Briggs, estimates that artificial intelligence could displace up to 9% of U.S. workers—about 15 million people—over a decade. The analysis highlights potential job losses and slower hiring due to AI-driven productivity gains, with impacts likely intensifying during economic downturns.

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